7. Actual and modeled distribution of Age at death
8. Modeled distributions of the ages at death according to the French life table for the year 1816 (right panel) vs. the year 2016 (left panel), France, for 100.000 females at birth. Sources: HMD and IDL.
9. Various indicators of longevity, French women 1816 - 2016. Sources: HMD and IDL
10. Mme Jeanne Louise Calment
11. Nikolay Zak's "report"
12. Evidence that Jeanne Calment died in 1934- not 1997
13. Some of Novoselov’s and Zak’s arguments The impossibility of living to the age of 122 JC’s lack of frailty on photos of her JC’s eye color differ on ID and other photos JC’s size decrease too little from 1930 to 1990 JC’s confusing statements about maids etc. The motive for a fraud: avoiding inheritance taxation YC’s was not enumerated in the 1931 census YC’s death certificate was based on a sole witness YC’s funeral was almost hidden
14. The real facts supporting Jeanne Calment as the oldest ever human
15. Individual observations and statistical indicator of maximum life span (MLS)
16. conservation des hypothèques
17. Donation
18. Modeling of the mortality risk of the 1875 and 1903 birth cohorts
19. Equations
20. Simulation's result
21. Yvonne Calment in 1931
22. Summary of JC's affair
23. Factors that may impact mortality and longevity
24. Death toll exceeded 70,000 in Europe during the summer of 2003
25. Background
26. Method
27. Map of the countries involved
28. Method
29. Seasonality of deaths in Europe (reference period 1998-2002)
30. Excess daily deaths during the summer 2003
31. Accumulation of excess daily deaths during summer 2003
32. Taking care of the living ones
33. Taking care of the deads
34. Summary
35. Excess male mortality and age-specific mortality trajectories under different mortality conditions
36. Aim
37. Daily mortality experience by the method of Tukey (1977)
38. Sex mortality rate ratio by age, according to 5 or 3 levels of mortality experience over the summers of 1998-2002
39. Exceptionally high mortality rates during summers of 2003 as compared to 1998-2002, by sex and age
40. Summary
41. Long-term projections and acclimatization scenarios of temperature-related mortality in Europe
42. Aim
43. Method
44. M vs T in Europe (1998-2003)
45. M vs apparent T (=T+H )
46. M vs apparent T (=T+H ) N = 54 areas
47. Method
48. Summary
49. Evaluation of an Early-warning system for heat wave-related mortality in Europe
50. Aim
51. Area under the ROC curve (AUC) and associated 95% confidence intervals for the binary event of exceeding the emergency mortality threshold of the 75th percentile in each of the 54 regions for the heat wave scenario (1–15 August 2003)
52. ROC curves for the binary event of exceeding the emergency mortality threshold of the 75th percentile in each of the 54 regions for the heat wave scenario (1–15 August 2003), using the probabilistic mortality model driven by forecast apparent temperature data
53. Figure 3
54. Summary
55. European seasonal mortality and influenza incidence due to winter temperature variability
56. Aim
57. Triple relationship between temperature, influenza and mortality.
58. Regression coefficient between daily temperature and mortality for winter (December to March) days (daily cases per million per 1 °C).
59. Results
60. effet of the great recession on regional mortality trends in Europe
61. Background
62. Aim
63. Method
64. Recent evolution of macroeconomic and health indicators □ beginning ◊ 2007 ○end
65. Recession (2008–2010) versus expansion (2000–2007))
66. Summary
67. Summary
68. Conclusion
69. Conclusion
70. Conclusion
71. Collaborations
Environnement, longévité et mortalité, Pr François Herrmann, 21.08.20